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Plains grow more lonesome
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Anonymous writes "Article Launched: 03/16/2006 1:00 AM MST
denver & the west
Plains grow more lonesome
By Robert Sanchez,
Denver Post Staff Writer
Denis Weber strolls past a vacant house Wednesday in Sheridan Lake in Kiowa County - a town without a gas station, restaurant or grocery store. Kiowa and Cheyenne counties suffered double-digit percentage population declines in the past five years. There's fear in Sheridan Lake that the post office could close as well. "That would just kill us," Weber said. (Post / Karl Gehring)
Population on Colorado's long-suffering Eastern Plains slipped further over a five-year span beginning in 2000, even as new U.S. census estimates showed that the state overall enjoyed robust growth during the same period.
Hardest hit were Cheyenne and Kiowa counties on the Kansas border, which lost more than one-tenth of their populations and now are among the top 25 counties nationwide for population decline.
Other Colorado counties on the plains fared little better, with communities from the northeast and southeast losing anywhere between 0.5 percent to 9.9 percent of their population from 2000 to 2005, according to census data being released today.
The declines could get worse before they get better, demographic and agriculture experts said.
Eastern Plains communities could lose another third of their population before even the slightest rebound occurs, said Don Macke, co-director of the National Center for Rural Entrepreneurship.
"Eventually, things will begin to stabilize, but when that will happen is anyone's guess," he said. Still, even with the consistent decrease, the communities "won't decline to nothing."
The reason for the dramatic population decreases in Colorado's agriculture-based counties - some have dropped nearly 20 percent since 1990 - is a perfect storm of minimal economic development coupled with drought and stagnant crop prices.
Where farmers once were able to support families on 500 acres, it now takes 5,000 acres or more simply to break even.
"We have to have two other jobs just to make it work here," said Jan Hogan, a hair salon owner in Kit Carson.
Hogan's husband teaches high school science to support the family's cattle ranch in Cheyenne County. "We don't have young people staying here or coming into town because we don't have much to offer them," Hogan said.
Two of her children left Kit Carson and live in Denver and Pueblo. "They have opportunities there," she said.
Continue here.. "
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Posted by Love on Tuesday, April 04 @ 16:53:00 EDT (2155 reads)
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HACKERS THINK THAT THEY ARE COOL!
They are Stupid! Wasting their time.
Hackers will be prosecuted in H*
:)
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Why Business Smarts Are Investing Smarts
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Why Business Smarts Are Investing SmartsWhy Business Smarts Are Investing Smartsby Robert Kiyosaki
Tuesday, January 10, 2006 A great quote from Warren Buffett goes: "I'm a better investor because I'm a businessman, and I'm a better businessman because I'm a better investor." So let me tell you how to be a better investor by being better at business. Business knowledge varies among these three kinds of people:
- Non-Investors: They expect that someone (such as their parents, their kids, a spouse, a company, or the government) will take care of them when their working days are over.
- Passive Investors: They turn their money over to someone or some organization, such as a mutual fund, to manage. It's the passive investor who tends to believe the financial planners' mantra of "work hard, save money, get out of debt, invest for the long term, and diversify."
- Active Investors: These people tend to manage their own portfolios and assets, as well as hand-picking their advisors, who are not brokers or sales people. To be a successful active investor requires a higher financial IQ, more real world entrepreneurial business experience, and a very smart advisory team.
For non-investors and passive investors, investing is risky. The main reason is because these two groups of people have no control over the investments they're involved in. While active investors know there's risk, they also realize that the greater the control they have, the less the risk.
Getting a Grip on Business
What do I mean by control? Let me illustrate using the example of driving a car. To be a safe driver, there are six basic controls we all must have:
- Steering wheel
- Gas pedal
- Brakes
- Gear shift
- Driver's education/license
- Insurance
You wouldn't drive a car if you didn't have any one of the above controls. Yet, when it comes to investing, this is what most people do -- they invest without having any influence over the six basic controls of investing or a business:
- Income
- Expenses
- Asset value
- Liabilities
- Financial education/management
- Insurance
The reason Warren Buffett says he's a better investor is because he's a businessman who has control of those six levers of a business. In other words, he can tell how good an investment is by how well management manipulates these basic controls. In most of his investments, Buffett doesn't just buy an equity position, he does his best to buy control of the business.
A good business person wants control over their business. For example, if sales are down and expenses are up, a good business person knows what to do to correct the situation. In my real estate investments, as soon as interest rates began to drop around 2000, our team immediately refinanced our debt (liabilities) on our properties, which reduced expenses, increased income, and boosted the intrinsic asset value of the property.
When I invest in real estate, I have lots of insurance. If a building burns or a tenant falls, I have insurance to cover those risks. A mutual fund has no insurance. That is why $7 trillion to $9 trillion were lost when the market crashed in 2000. Today, in spite of not having any insurance against losses, millions of employees happily deposit their money in their 401(k).
Know What You're Doing
The bad news for most non-investors and passive investors is they pick investments that don't welcome investor control. In fact, most non-investors and passive investors invest in the riskiest of all investments -- savings, stocks, bonds, and mutual funds -- all dangerous picks since investors lack control.
Ask yourself these questions:
- Do you have control over the dollar's fluctuation in value?
- Can you get Bill Gates to reduce Microsoft's expenses or replace its new marketing team?
- Do you have any control over interest rates?
- Do you know your mutual-fund manager personally?
While I do have some money in stocks, bonds, and mutual funds, most of my resources are in investments I control.
Even worse, most financial advisors -- be they stock brokers, financial planners, or corporate investment advisors -- don't have any control, either. In other words, asking most financial advisors for investment advice is like a asking a taxi driver who's driving a car without a steering wheel, gas pedal, brakes, or insurance to take you to the airport.
That's why investing is risky for most non-investors and passive investors. As Warren Buffett says, "Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing."
http://finance.yahoo.com/columnist/article/richricher/2188?p=1
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Posted by boomer on Tuesday, January 10 @ 15:47:09 EST (2221 reads)
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Mississippi rocks the boat with bold coastal designs By Blair Kamin Tribune architecture critic
Tue Oct 18, 9:40 AM ET
Outside the gaudy, 12-story Isle of Capri casino and hotel, the signs linger of Hurricane Katrina's devastating wrath: mammoth casino barges shoved across a highway, the foundations of stately waterfront houses the storm rubbed out like an eraser from the sky.
Inside the casino, though, the scene was one of frenzied optimism: A room filled with architects from Illinois and elsewhere around the country, sketching a new future for the Mississippi Gulf Coast from morning till caffeine-wired midnight. Not the sophisticated planning effort you'd expect from the nation's poorest state.
"We can dream," said former Netscape CEO and Mississippi native Jim Barksdale, head of the governor's Commission on Recovery, Rebuilding and Renewal, which is backed by Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour.
On Monday, just one week after arriving here, the designers and their outspoken leader, Miami-based architect Andres Duany, unveiled the fruits of their brainstorming sessions as Barbour and Barksdale looked on: Detailed plans for 11 cities and towns along an 80-mile stretch of coastline. There, Katrina battered thousands of properties, creating in some places a virtual clean slate.
The plans take advantage of that opportunity, presenting a bold antidote to the suburban sprawl that laid waste to Mississippi's front-porch culture and once-bustling downtowns long before the hurricane hit. They represent the latest shot fired by Duany and the organization he helped found, the Chicago-based Congress for the New Urbanism, at the strip malls, office parks and housing subdivisions the New Urbanists believe are despoiling the American landscape.
"This [region] was being eaten up by sprawl, not only the land but the cities," said Duany, 56, best known for co-designing the idyllic Florida Panhandle town of Seaside, which is the model for the compact, walkable neighborhoods the New Urbanists prefer to car-dominated suburbia.
No one but a cockeyed optimist expects the plans to be built just as the architects, planners, traffic engineers and other New Urbanist experts drew them. They have no statutory authority and likely will require extensive modifications to building codes, as well as millions of dollars in public and private investment.
Illuminating the choices
"Local people have to make the decision," Barbour said Monday. "The purpose of this commission is not to impose decisions on you. It's to illuminate the choices."
Nevertheless, the plans represent a clear signal that Mississippi intends not only to rebuild, but also to do things differently than before. Whether different will be better is a matter of debate.
Even before the end of the planning session, known as the Mississippi Renewal Forum, Eric Owen Moss, director of the Southern California Institute of Architecture, infuriated participants by telling The Washington Post that the New Urbanists would deliver a "canned response" to rebuilding the Mississippi coastline and that their traditional designs would appeal "to a kind of anachronistic Mississippi that yearns for the good old days of the Old South as slow and balanced and pleasing and breezy, and each person knew his or her role."
"How does he know? What does he know?" Barksdale snapped in an interview Sunday. "I thought it was a mean-spirited thing for him to say that we all want to go back and own slaves."
Sitting in the Bimini Bay Ballroom of the Isle of Capri, about 100 New Urbanists from around the country joined the planning effort with 130 local architects and officials. Leading them was Duany, the movement's general.
After fanning out Thursday to the 11 cities and towns--Waveland, Bay St. Louis, Pass Christian, Long Beach, Gulfport, Biloxi, D'Iberville, Ocean Springs, Gautier, Moss Point and Pascagoulaand meeting the residents who remain, the designers started their day-and-night sketching sessions, which are known as "charrettes," a word derived from the French word for "little cart." At the Ecoles des Beaux Arts in 19th Century Paris, professors would collect final drawings from students with little carts.
By Saturday, the architects were lining the ballroom's walls with preliminary sketches and presenting them to local officials who asked pointed questions but seemed, by and large, to like what they saw.
A team of regional planners suggested turning an old CSX railroad track to the north of the coastline into a light-rail line and parklike boulevard. That would let people take mass transit to their jobs in cities such as Biloxi and Gulfport and would relieve traffic-choked U.S. Highway 90 along the coast.
For Biloxi, the designers advocated tearing down an elevated highway and replacing it with a ground-level boulevard that would feed traffic into the depressed downtown business district instead of bypassing it. They also would return two-way traffic to the downtown's forlorn pedestrian mall and encourage casinos, the engine of the city's economy, to have shops that face the street rather than turning inward, as suburban malls do.
Katrina isn't the only culprit
"We're not picking up after Katrina. We're picking up after urban planning disasters," said Pasadena, Calif., architect Elizabeth Moule, a member of the Biloxi planning team. "We're helping this town recover from the hurricane of the last 30 years."
As they designed, the planners were forced to improvise, reacting Saturday to the release of Federal Emergency Management Agency flood advisory maps, which suggest that new buildings along the coast may have to be dramatically higher than those that were destroyed by the storm.
The planning team for tiny Waveland, where Katrina destroyed nearly all the main street business district south of the railroad tracks, quickly adjusted its plans, discarding a design that would have rebuilt the street where it used to be. Instead, the designers shifted the district 1,000 feet farther away from the gulf's threatening waters. At the tail end of their street, they inserted farmers market stalls and other open structures that could have water run through them without destroying them.
Along Biloxi's coastline of sandy white beaches, the architects ignored the vision of those who would keep the waterfront purely natural. Instead, across from the beach, they designed tiers of townhouses atop concrete parking garages that they expect to better weather future storms.
"There's a plot in charrettes," said Duany, who has conducted hundreds of them for New Urbanist towns, though never one of this size and scope. "There's the Thursday Night Massacre [when architects are forced to adjust to requirements they hadn't anticipated]. You pick yourself up. Eventually, you prevail."
Whether the New Urbanists will prevail will begin to become clear Tuesday when developers, who along with casino owners were excluded from the brainstorming sessions, get a first-hand look at the plans.
Even if the New Urbanists get their way, they--or, rather, some of the people who live here--may well face the problem of unintended consequences.
Seaside has proved so popular in the marketplace that it's become a victim of its own success. The poor and middle-class families have been priced out. Along the Mississippi coast, if a light-rail line were built and neighborhoods along the tracks gentrified, the poor black families that live there now could be displaced.
"That's what really plagues the New Urbanism--[the rap] that it's for wealthy folks," said Emily Talen, a professor of urban planning at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign who was at the sessions. "We have to make sure it doesn't happen here."
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bkamin@tribune.com
http://www.chicagotribune.com/?track=yahoolinkbox
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Posted by boomer on Tuesday, October 18 @ 00:00:00 EDT (2188 reads)
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Judge pushes SBA to set aside contracts for women
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October 10, 2005
Judge pushes SBA to set aside contracts for women
Kent Hoover
Washington Bureau Chief
A federal judge is pushing the Small Business Administration to implement a long-delayed program to set aside government contracts in certain industries to women-owned businesses.
Congress created the program five years ago, but the SBA still hasn't identified industries where women haven't received their fair share of contracts or issued regulations for the program.
The U.S. Women's Chamber of Commerce filed a lawsuit last year in an attempt to force the SBA to implement the program. Last month, U.S. District Court Judge Reggie B. Walton denied a motion by the SBA to dismiss the lawsuit and ordered the agency to report on its progress in establishing the program within 45 days.
By Oct. 15, the SBA will issue a request for proposals for a study identifying industries where women have been discriminated against, says Eric Benderson, the agency's associate general counsel for litigation. This study is needed to justify the set-asides, he says.
At the same time, the SBA will work on the program's regulations, he says. The program could be up and running in six months, Benderson says.
The SBA has made similar promises before, but the court's involvement may make the SBA deliver this time, says Margot Dorfman, CEO of the women's chamber.
"Year after year the SBA has set deadlines and failed to keep them," she says. "But now, the court will be watching."
Members of Congress have been hounding the SBA for years to implement the program. In July, SBA Administrator Hector Barreto told Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., that the agency expected to issue its study RFP by July 30.
"Women-owned businesses are asking, 'When will the administration keep its word?' 'When will women get their fair share' " says Kerry, the ranking Democrat on the Senate Small Business and Entrepreneurship Committee.
His House counterpart, Rep. Nydia Velazquez of New York, says the program's delay "has already cost women business owners $25 billion in lost contracting opportunities."
Federal agencies are supposed to award 5 percent of their prime contracting dollars to women-owned businesses. That goal has never been met -- last year women received only 3 percent.
Benderson denies the SBA is dragging its feet on the women's contracting program.
"There is no resistance" on the SBA's part, he says.
But creating a set-aside program that will stand up to judicial scrutiny is "a difficult thing," he says. The SBA decided in 2002 that its original study of industries where women were underrepresented was flawed because it didn't prove that women actually were discriminated against. So it asked the National Academy of Sciences to review the study's methodology and make recommendations on how to improve it. That study of the study was not completed until this year.
Now the agency needs to conduct another study, which it will contract out to a private firm.
"Hopefully now it will get done the right way," Benderson says.
For more information, see http://www.uswomenschamber.com
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Posted by boomer on Tuesday, October 11 @ 23:58:22 EDT (2243 reads)
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Work Life: Boost Your Education And Life With An Online Degree
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Anonymous writes "Obtaining an online bachelors degree can be a swift and easy way to further your career,prospects and life in general. But before you enroll, there are a few important points you need to know get your head around.
Number one, you'll want to make ensure that the college that offers you a degree online is accredited. School and universities are accredited on a national or state level. This accreditation means that a relevant board of education has researched and approved the schools curriculum and course.
Secondly, you will want to make sure that the school is highly recognized and that the bachelors degree can be transfered. This will help because someday you might need to further enhance your education by completing your masters degree and you might be required to transfer your bachelors credits.
Prerequisite to obtaining your bachelors degree from a university or college, First you must have the minimum of a G.E.D or a high school diploma. It will also help to have some college or previous work experience under your belt. If you have attained previous college credits, then they can be put toward your bachelors degree program and the period of time that you will need to be enrolled in school will be shortened.
If you have not attained previous college credits, The majority of bachelors degree online programs take about thirty six months to finish. This period of time is based on a person that takes a minimum of twenty hours of course work per week. With previous college credits, or by spending a larger amount of time on course work every week, some individuals can finish their bachelors online degree program in as little as twelve months.
To choose which university or college to enroll with, it is best to decide what type of degree program you require. The majority of colleges offer these type of programs but some specialize in man varied fields. For example, an individual who wants a bachelors degree in business might decide to go with Ashworth College, while a person that wants an degree for education would want to go with Penn State University.
When you have chosen a bachelors online degree course, you need to research its class schedule. Most online programs or courses allow you to download the course work and complete it at your own leisure, but some programs insist that you log on to the Internet for virtual class sessions at a designated time a few times a week. Now you know the basics you will see that making up for lost time can be easier than you might have thought and topping up your education is a real possibility. Go on what have you got to lose?"
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It is all relative right?
Michael Solomon, consumer behavior expert at Auburn University in
Alabama, calls the frenzy over rising gas prices "a tempest in a
teapot," considering the amount of money people spend on small
indulgences.
"The same people who are complaining about gas prices don't blink
when they pay $3.50 for a latte," he says. "That's different
somehow." (& $4.50 for a tiny piece of cake or a fruit tart in a
cafe')
What's different is the changing perception of certain goods and
services, he says. The necessities, such as food, clothing, and
energy, are supposed to stay relatively constant, so that every year
consumers are able to afford a little more of the "good stuff."
"We learn that a loaf of bread is $2.29 and we base our expectations
on that. The usual becomes the right," says Dr. Solomon. "But the
11th Commandment is not that bread shall be $2.29
Read the whole story here:
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/0419/p03s01-usec.html
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Posted by boomer on Monday, August 15 @ 18:01:20 EDT (2442 reads)
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Topics: Secret of Thailand's Success? It's the Women:
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Bloomberg News
Secret of Thailand's Success? It's the Women:
William Pesek Jr.
March 21 (Bloomberg) -- It's a question officials here in Asia are being posed more and more: Why are your economies so vibrant?
Answers include young and swelling populations, decreased debt, growing cities, emerging middle-class consumer sectors, evolving markets and, of course, China's rise.
Add this to that list: Women and their increasing role in Asia's economies. The idea is that the more opportunities women have, the more vibrant economies are and, consequently, the less need there is to amass a huge public debt to boost growth.
It's an idea bolstered by a new survey by MasterCard International Inc., which compares the socioeconomic level of women with men in 13 Asia-Pacific nations. The gauge uses four key indicators: participation in the labor force, college education, managerial positions and above-median income.
Which Asian nation is doing best when it comes to women's advancement? Thailand. It scored 92.3 of a possible 100, and according to MasterCard's index, 100 equals gender equality. The survey was based on interviews with 300 to 350 women in 13 nations and national statistics.
Malaysia came in second with a score of 86.2, while China came in third with 68.4. The average score in Asia was 67.7.
At the bottom of the list is South Korea (45.5), followed by Indonesia (52.5) and Japan (54.5).
Future of Asia
Perhaps it's a bizarre coincidence, yet MasterCard's findings fit quite neatly with two important issues in Asia: economic leadership and debt.
Thailand, Malaysia and China are three economies widely seen as the future of Asia. Thailand's economic boom in recent years has prompted many leaders in the region to look to Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra's growth strategy, known as ``Thaksinomics.''
Malaysia, which has a female central bank governor, is one of Asia's rising economic powers. China, of course, is the world's hottest economy, and one that's shaking up trade patterns and business decisions everywhere.
Korea
Something all three economies have in common is an above- average level of female participation. What the three worst ranked economies share are severe long-term economic challenges of high levels of debt and a female workforce that's being neglected.
``Research in economic history is very conclusive on the role of women in economic growth and development,'' says Yuwa Hedrick-Wong, an economic adviser to MasterCard. ``The more extensive women's participation at all areas of economic activities, the higher the probability for stronger economic growth.''
That, Hedrick-Wong says, means ``societies and economies that consistently fail to fully incorporate women's ability and talent in businesses and the workplace will suffer the consequences.''
Take Korea, which has been walking in place economically in recent years. Immediately following the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis, Korea became a regional role model as growth boomed and unemployment fell. Yet a massive increase in household debt left consumers overexposed and growth slowed.
Form of Rebellion
Maybe it's a just coincidence that Korea also ranks low on measures of gender equality published by the United Nations. As of 2003, for example, it ranked below Honduras, Paraguay, Mauritius and Ukraine in terms of women's economic and political empowerment. Utilizing more of its female workforce would deepen Korea's labor pool and increase potential growth rates in the economy.
The same goes for Japan. The reluctance of Asia's biggest economy to increase female participation and let more women into the executive suite exacerbates its biggest long-term challenge: a declining birthrate. In 2003, the number of children per Japanese woman fell to a record low of 1.29 versus about 2 in the early 1970s. Preliminary government statistics suggest the rate declined further in 2004.
The trend is nothing short of a crisis for a highly indebted nation of 126 million that has yet to figure out how to fund the national pension system down the road. Yet Japan has been slow to realize that for many women, the decision to delay childbirth is a form of rebellion against societal expectations to have children and become housewives .
Annan and Women
It may be 2005, yet having children is a career-ending decision for millions of bright, ambitious and well-educated Japanese. Until corrected, Japan's birthrate will drop and economic growth will lag.
UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan was absolutely right earlier this month when he said ``no other policy is as likely to raise economic productivity'' than the empowerment of women.
Here in Thailand, the government is getting some decent marks in this regard and the economy's 6-percent-plus growth rate may be a direct result. Thailand still has a long way to go. Women's representation in national politics is a work in progress, as are Thailand's efforts to curtail human trafficking and its thriving sex trade.
Yet the Bank of Thailand's deputy governor, Tarisa Watanagase, is a woman, as are seven of nine assistant governors. And then there's Jada Wattanasiritham, who runs Siam Commercial Bank Pcl, Thailand's fourth-biggest lender. How many female chief executives can you name in Japan or Korea?
Looked at broadly in Asia, MasterCard's survey -- based on interviews with 300-350 women in 13 nations and national statistics -- is on to something. It's that giving women more opportunities to contribute to an economy isn't just about fairness, but dollars and sense, too.
To contact the writer of this column:
William Pesek Jr. in Bangkok, or through the Tokyo newsroom at wpesek@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: March 20, 2005 12:02 EST
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_us&refer=columnist_pesek&sid=aL7IcVmTk9JU
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Anonymous writes "Private accounts a fixture in some countries
While the United States grapples with whether to add private investment to Social Security, other countries that already offer personal retirement accounts may serve as examples.
CHILE
Population: 15.2 million
% age 65 and older: 7.2
Current system began: 1981
Worker contribution: 10 percent of pay
Employer contribution: none
Government contribution: Cost of a guaranteed minimum pension
Retirement age: 65 for men, 60 for women
How it works:
- All of the worker's contribution goes to a private account.
- Benefits are determined by how much the worker has contributed plus interest and may be withdrawn periodically, paid as an annuity or a combination of both.
SWEDEN
Population: 8.8 million
% age 65 and older: 17.4
Current system began: 1999
Worker contribution: 7 percent of pay
Employer contribution: 10.2 percent of pay
Government contribution: Cost of a guaranteed minimum pension
Retirement age: As early as 61
How it works:
- The system consists of a national pension plan along with mandatory private accounts.
- Pension plan funds are allocated using a complicated formula. Private accounts are funded through worker and employer contributions totaling 2.5 percent of pay.
- Accounts are made up of mutual funds and are converted to annuities at retirement.
POLAND
Population: 38.6 million
% age 65 and older: 12.1
Current system began: 1999
Worker contribution: 9.8 percent of pay
Employer contribution: 9.8 percent of pay
Government contribution: Cost of a guaranteed minimum pension
Retirement age: 65 for men, 60 for women
How it works:
- The first part is a pension determined by the amount a worker has contributed to the plan divided by the average life expectancy at retirement age.
- The second part is a mandatory individual retirement account that is converted to an annuity at retirement.
SINGAPORE
Population: 4 million
% age 65 and older: 7.2
Current system began: 1991
Worker contribution: 20 percent of pay
Employer contribution: 13 percent of pay
Government contribution: none
Retirement age: 62
How it works:
- A worker gets a lumpsum payment equal to the total worker and employer contributions plus at least 2.5 percent in compound interest.
- At age 55, workers must put about $42,000 in a retirement account to ensure income after age 62.
- Workers also can tap funds to pay for a child's education, medical expenses or purchase of a home.
Note: Worker and employer contribution rates are portions paid for retirement benefits only except in the case of Singapore, where the contribution rates cited also help fund education, medical and housing costs.
Sources: Social Security Administration, news reports
Chicago Tribune"
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Work Life: Singapore's plan for retirees offers lessons for U.S.
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Anonymous writes "Singapore's plan for retirees offers lessons for U.S.
By Michael A. Lev Tribune foreign correspondent
At first blush, the social security system in this wealthy, modern country appears to be something of a model for the reforms being considered in the United States.
The Singapore government's plan for retirees uses individual savings accounts--to which employee and employer contribute--with the emphasis placed on personal responsibility. Workers can access their accounts at any time to buy a house, which most do, or to pay for education. They also have the option of directing their money into a wide array of investments, from gold to stocks to mutual funds, and there is a lot more talk these days of giving workers even more options to invest for retirement as they see fit.
President Bush (news - web sites) is proposing to add an element of personal choice to the Social Security (news - web sites) system, though only a portion of the payroll tax could be used for a carefully selected menu of private investments, and people would not have access to that money until they retire.
Singapore's system, the Central Provident Fund, became a major creator of wealth for Singaporeans in initial incarnations decades ago, contributing to one of the highest rates of home ownership in the world.
But ask Quek Soo Beng, a 63-year-old bus driver, how he expects to pay for his golden years and he'll tell you the CPF will play a very small role.
"My children will support us," said Quek, who has two daughters and a son. "My wife and I will use CPF money to travel."
This is not an unusual situation.
Many retired Singaporeans--perhaps the majority in the working class--accept help from their children, often in the form of a monthly payment of roughly $500 to $750. Singaporean values are heavily influenced by Chinese culture, which places the burden on children to care for their parents. In fact, there is a law in Singapore requiring that families take care of their own, but it seldom needs to be invoked.
And so it becomes obvious fairly quickly that the Singaporean system is not about to be exported wholesale to the U.S.
But there are some interesting lessons to be learned from studying it, as well as looking at some other countries--such as Chile--that have chosen a different path from the American-style pay-as-you-go system.
`No ideal system'
"There is no ideal system; each country has to look at where it is," said Mukul Asher of the National University of Singapore, an authority on pension systems who writes frequently on the CPF and is a critic of it as a social security system.
"It's actually an example of what not to do," he said. "The first thing you need to understand is that it's not a social security scheme. It's a mandatory savings scheme."
Under the plan, employees must contribute about 20 percent of their salary to their account, with employers putting in another 13 percent. The government guarantees a 2.5 percent annual return, though participants who opt to manage their investments may make much more. The main wealth-building component is that contributors can borrow from their accounts to buy a house.
The financially savvy government gets a major boost too. While guaranteeing a modest 2.5 percent, it can turn around and invest CPF funds not earmarked by workers wherever it sees fit. Most likely it earns fat returns off the deposits of employees and employers, but the government is not required to disclose where the money goes.
That all worked through Singapore's high-growth years, as salaries and housing prices increased. Workers invested mainly in government condominiums--the state benefiting once again--and often traded up several times, and at retirement they either had a house that was paid for or one they could trade down from and pocket the equity. Meanwhile, the country got rich.
But now, some critics warn, there may be a problem with the Singaporean system. For one thing, the country is very small, and its changing demographics do not bode well for the CPF in the long term. The population is graying--as in the U.S.--and families are having fewer children. So what happens when today's workers grow old and don't have three or four children to support them? Or what happens to the wealth of Singaporeans if housing prices collapse?
"Overinvestment in real estate is a concern," said Aw Tar Choon, a Singaporean doctor and co-author of a book about social security.
There also is a recognition that CPF does not provide nearly enough, particularly if a participant uses the money to buy a house and doesn't plan to sell.
So Singapore is thinking about retooling its system.
There is talk of raising the retirement age from 62 to 67, and the government also is studying whether to let people invest more aggressively on their own behalf.
New incentives
Already, about 10 percent of Singaporeans' retirement money is invested individually in stocks and insurance. The government hopes to encourage those types of investments by approving the creation of privately run mutual funds specifically for CPF money. The goal is to make such investments easy and to lower brokerage fees through mass participation.
That starts to sound like the system used in Chile over the past 25 years, in which participants deposit money into personal accounts and then invest in stocks and mutual funds.
Experts say the system has helped develop the capital markets and has generated good returns, but they point to several major shortcomings. The investment process has been burdened by high fees. And the government decided it needed to also guarantee a minimum pension for those whose plans failed, and that has cost billions of dollars.
In Singapore, the shortcomings have been glossed over because a powerful, paternalistic government faces little opposition.
That motivated Asher to point out what sounded like a of warning to Americans watching the proposed reforms take shape: "The economics of pensions is a very subtle thing, and very, very complex. There are probably only 100 people in the world who understand it."
http://www.chicagotribune.com
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